And NOAA now says the storm will be heading out to sea and the US
mainland will not see so much as a tropical storm force wind... thus
continuing the US major hurricane drought of the last (almost) 10 years.
No Cat 3 or higher has hit the US since Wilma (Oct 24, 2005)
Actually, there is a minor hurricane drought as well both in the US and
globally. Despite warnings of increasing storms due to climate change,
global cyclone frequency had been steadily declining and is actually
down more than 10 % since the peak in 1998.
Chuck Norcutt
On 10/2/2015 6:35 PM, Bob Whitmire wrote:
You guys take weather nerdism to a whole new level. I always thought my
father was a weather junkie.
When I was a newspaperman I was teased by my colleagues because I learned
that cold air generally moves in wedges that come up under warmer air and
cause snow. So all my winter weather stories cited wedges of cold air, etc.
I don't think I hever hit them with millibars.
--Bob Whitmire
Certified Neanderthal
On Fri, Oct 2, 2015 at 4:07 PM, Ken Norton <ken@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
You know I'm saving all your posts on the storm. When it's over, I'll
post
a report on my findings. <g>
Chris and I are your list weather nerds. I absolutely love this kind
of thing. Which reminds me, we're coming up on the thirty year
anniversary on November 10.
Anyway, it will be interesting to see what Chris and I get right and
how we got things wrong.
Regardless, I'm not agreeing with any of the models at this point. The
logical path is for it to stay west of Bermuda, but remain off the
east coast. Chris pointed out the change in the 500mb level which
changes everything. Who knows what this dry airmass blowing in from
the Azores is going to do either. I'm going to revise my statement
about westward movement across Cuba because it lost its window of
opportunity there.
AG
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