Preliminary indications suggest that AG and CT equivocated enough not to be
caught with their pants down predicting Joaquin's path. <g> I think AG gets
the nod for musing that the storm might take a non-interventionist track.
Final results are not yet available.
--Bob Whitmire
Certified Neanderthal
On Fri, Oct 2, 2015 at 5:58 PM, Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
> >
> >> You know I'm saving all your posts on the storm. When it's over, I'll
> post
> >> a report on my findings. <g>
>
> <snip>>
>
> >Regardless, I'm not agreeing with any of the models at this point. The
> >logical path is for it to stay west of Bermuda, but remain off the
> >east coast. Chris pointed out the change in the 500mb level which
> >changes everything. Who knows what this dry airmass blowing in from
> >the Azores is going to do either. I'm going to revise my statement
> >about westward movement across Cuba because it lost its window of
> >opportunity there.
> >
>
> Okay. The latest NAM forecast, posted within the past hour, now
> shows Joaquin proceeding northward in the same manner as GFS and UKMET have
> been forecasting. And it now appears that Joaquin will be taking the
> low-pressure system over the southeast in tow. That might make a nice mess
> out of the precipitation, but the NAM 700 mB RH/HT charts show that this
> may actually bring some relief to the Atlantic Seaboard.
>
--
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