Just so, on both counts, Andrew.
The forecast is normally wrong on timing, because local conditions hinder or
help the progress of a weather system.
Chris
On 3 Feb 2010, at 22:02, Andrew Fildes wrote:
>
> The weather forecasts are surprisingly accurate if you really check -
> they go adrift when an expected event comes a little earlier or later
> than predicted (usually ruining your weekend). But still, it comes.
> The problem is that we only notice when it isn't quite right - it
> doesn't have meaning for us when it's accurate within a degree or two
> or an hour or two so we don't remember and we develop an inaccurate
> perception. Plus it is the untested 'conventional wisdom' that weather
> reporting is inaccurate.
>
> Of course, all that is irrelevant. They're modelling climate, not
> weather.
--
_________________________________________________________________
Options: http://lists.thomasclausen.net/mailman/listinfo/olympus
Archives: http://lists.thomasclausen.net/mailman/private/olympus/
Themed Olympus Photo Exhibition: http://www.tope.nl/
|