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Re: [OM] 180/2.8

Subject: Re: [OM] 180/2.8
From: The Mauler <mauler@xxxxxxx>
Date: Mon, 18 Mar 2002 14:20:34 +0800
John,

Thanks for the link.  Will check it out.

Cheers!

Mauler...

> At 23:01 3/17/02, you wrote:
>> C.H.,
>> 
>> Thanks for the advise.  I now need to know what a "good" price or range of
>> "good prices".  There doesn't seem to be much of a guide, not even on the
>> bay.
>> 
>> Cheers!
>> 
>> Mauler...
> 
> Check out Skip Williams' eBay historical files on Zuiko lenses:
>  http://www.skipwilliams.com/olympus/zuiko_ebay_history.htm
> 
> This page shows the *average* (mean) with some links to the data at the top
> that show the high-low range and standard deviation.  For this particular
> lens (180/2.8) it shows:
> Sample size:  38 auctions (enough for statistical significance)
> Mean:  $469
> Low:   $215
> High:  $800
> Std Dev:  $113
> 
> The Std Deviation implies that (presumes the data resembles a normal
> distribution about the mean):
>  ~68losed between $356 - $582
>  ~75losed between $288 - $650
>  ~90losed between $277 - $661
>  ~95losed between $248 - $690
> 
> Criteria that rationally affect closing:
> * Condition of lens
> * MC or SC
> * How well the auction is written
> * Reputation of seller (with selling camera gear on eB*y)
> * State of economy (demand level for used camera lenses)
> * Business cycle (time of year can affect demand for camera gear)
> 
> Criteria that irrationally affect closing:
>  * Loonies (requires at least two)
>  * Perception it's the last lens on the face of the earth
>  * Winning an auction is more important than lens, how much it's really
>    worth, or damage to bank account (or credit card debt).
> 
> -- John
> 
> 
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