On Wednesday, September 05, 2001 at 9:21, Ken N <olympus@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote on "Re: [OM] Re: Digital Musings," saying..
> Here are a couple additional thoughts to the discussion:
>
> Digital will eventually replace film for the majority of images
> taken. In the next five years? Doubt it as that was predicted
> five years ago. I do look at the cinima industry as an example
> of this. It was predicted that video would completely replace
> film by 1980, then it was 1990, then it was 2000. Guess what,
> feature films are STILL predominantly filmed on film stock.
> They do use video for the daylies, but the actual production is
> on film. Video has taken over for most television shows, It is
> predicted that feature films will be completely digital
> start-to-finish in another ten years. HDTV has actually
> precipitated the roll-over towards digital. It will be at least
> five years before movie theatres will have quality digital
> projection systems that rival film projection.
Wait until the actors are mostly digital....
> The "digital evolution" in still photography has been a
> bottom-up marketing development instead of top-down. Whenever
> product development is aimed at the masses instead of the
> professional application we will have this "obsolete before
> production run" scenario. Just like the early days of autofocus
> cameras where Canon had their EOS dejour. It took almost ten
> years before we stabalized with quality autofocus cameras where
> you can buy one today and know that it will still be current
> tomorrow. There is still no digital SYTEM camera on the market.
> PERIOD!
>
> This is really a stupid situation we are in yet. Canon and
> Nikon both have digital bodies for 35mm lenses, but they are
> strictly temporary products until better technology/chips come
> along. And then your fancy Nikon/EOS digital immediately
> becomes yesterday's technology and barely "usable." For
> comparison, how many of us are still using 386 computers? 486?
> PENTIUM? (not to be left out: MAC II).
Still good, with Linux.
OMs will still be good, with film for years, for most photos and for
extreme situations
But Digital will dominate pretty soon.
TomT
----Questions answered, answers questioned.
Tom A. Trottier<Tom@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> http://abacurial.com
+1 613 291-1168 fax:594-5412 ICQ:57647974 N45.41694 W75.70462
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The reasonable man adapts himself to the world;
the unreasonable one persists to adapt the world to himself.
Therefore all progress depends on the unreasonable man.
-George Bernard Shaw, writer, Nobel laureate (1856-1950)
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