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Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew

Subject: Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew
From: Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 5 Oct 2016 16:14:28 -0700 (GMT-07:00)
     Hurricane Matthew is now forecast to be a weak category 4 storm when it 
reaches Miami tomorrow afternoon.

>
>     And UKMET confirms this:
>
>http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/storm-tracker/#?tab=map&stormId=14L&stormName=MATTHEW
>
>     Ho, boy!
>
>>
>>     According to the 06Z GFS forecast, that's exactly what is going 
>>to happen.  Matthew will weaken to a tropical storm and arrive back 
>>in Miami next Wednesday.  It will hang around for a few days, 
>>strengthen, drift over to Nasau, and then strengthen further.
>>
>>     This is going to be very interesting to watch.
>>
>>>
>>>     The 1100 EDT NHC forecast has Matthew making a broad clockwise 
>>>circular turn to the southeast over the weekend.  I hope that this 
>>>does not result in Matthew revisiting the east coast next week, but 
>>>we saw this sort of path earlier with TS Julia.  This is going to 
>>>bear close watching.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>     Yes, this is a radical departure from the previous forecasts, and 
>>>>certainly a great relief to the northeast Atlantic coast.  I suspect 
>>>>that TS Nicole had some influence here.  It will still be a strong 
>>>>category 3 or weak category 4 storm when it gets to Miami on Friday.
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>NOAA's 5 AM track for Wednesday 10/5 shows a significant difference from 
>>>>>the previous several forecasts.  Previously, the location for "2 AM Sat" 
>>>>>was right on the coast at the North Carolina/South Carolina state lines. 
>>>>>  Now it's near the Florida/Georgia line and a significant distance from 
>>>>>the coast.  This shows a significant slowing of the path of the storm 
>>>>>and also a significant weakening.  IIRC, the storm was still a Major (M) 
>>>>>hurricane at that latitude in previous forecasts.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Chris
>>>
>>>When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
>>>     - Hunter S. Thompson
>>>-- 
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>>>Options: http://lists.thomasclausen.net/mailman/listinfo/olympus
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>>>
>>
>>
>>Chris
>>
>>When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
>>     - Hunter S. Thompson
>>-- 
>>_________________________________________________________________
>>Options: http://lists.thomasclausen.net/mailman/listinfo/olympus
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>>Themed Olympus Photo Exhibition: http://www.tope.nl/
>>
>
>
>Chris
>
>When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
>     - Hunter S. Thompson


Chris

When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
     - Hunter S. Thompson
-- 
_________________________________________________________________
Options: http://lists.thomasclausen.net/mailman/listinfo/olympus
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