At 06:54 PM 3/29/00 -0800, "Bite Me" (whoever the Hell that is) wrote:
> The 20 March issue of Forbes magazine has an
>interview with Hiroshi Ono of Sanyo. Much big
> news in a small article:
[snip]
> Looks like film cameras will become a market
>oddity even sooner than most digicam owners have
> been predicting, and A LOT SOONER than the film
>diehards have been stating.
With all due respect to Ono-san, I've been hearing this kind of talk for almost
twenty years, ever since the early days of high-resolution CCD cameras on
orbital military platforms. They've all based their predictions on
"trendicating" (which, as a professional statistician for many years, I'm
*extremely* leery of). In order to "beat" film, you have to beat its form
factor, resolution, and light-sensitivity. That's going to be difficult to do,
considering that the development of a single silver halide molecule amplifies
light on the close order of a factor of at least one million times, without the
necessary involvement of any form of electronics whatsoever.
Hell, I know die-hard tech enthusiasts who are switching back to paper-based
daytimers from their electronic versions. The reason? "Paper-based daytimers
never need batteries and don't get their memories scragged or wiped clean when
you walk through an active airport scanner..."
Garth
"A bad day doing photography is better
than a good day doing just about
anything else."
The Unofficial Olympus Web Photo Gallery at:
http://www.taiga.ca/~gallery/
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