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Re: [OM] OT Metric system, was Better Flash recs ...

Subject: Re: [OM] OT Metric system, was Better Flash recs ...
From: John Levin <jlevin@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 22:02:17 -0500
At 10:44 PM 03/03/2000 -0500, someone wrote:

Because something is better does not necessarily mean it will catch on.  Our
standard keyboard was designed to slow down typing speed so the keys
wouldn't get tangled.  We know of faster (Dvorak) keyboards, but who plans on
retraining all of those who already type the *old* way?
(snip)

This is an "urban myth". The only study of the Dvorak vs. regular typewriter keyboard is apparently over 50 years old, was badly done, and showed little difference in typing speed anyway. No one has ever come up with satisfactory proof that the standard keyboard was EVER intended to slow keys down, and in fact, specialized keyboards such as the Linotype keyboard used many of the same key placements as the standard keyboard. Many professional typists were (and are) able to exceed speeds of 80 wpm plus. Some could even right/left justify, using spaces, on the fly on manual keyboards. Dvorak keyboards are easily mapped to todays computers (they were even sold for a while), but never caught on. Why? There's no real advantage to the Dvorak, other than the standard placebo effect. A 1956 (U.S.) General Services Administration study showed no difference between the keyboard speeds (in fact, the standard keyboard was slightly faster)

I quote one of many web sites on this issue:
"However, as an article in the April 3. 1999 issue of The Economist notes, hard evidence supporting Dvorak's claims of superiority is thin on the ground. An often-cited 1944 United States Navy study compared the speed of typists retrained on Dvorak with the speed of a control group given supplementary training on QWERTY. The Dvorak typists did better, but The Economist notes possible biases and methodological errors casting doubt on the report's veracity, "all of them, it so happens seeming to favour Dvorak." One of the most glaring is that the US Navy experiments were conducted by none other than Lieutenant-Commander August Dvorak, the Dvorak layout's inventor and patent-holder." "A properly designed and controlled 1956 study by the General Services Administration cited by The Economist found QWERTY typists to be roughly as fast as Dvorak typists, or even faster, and in a variety of other experiments and studies, neither keyboard design of has demonstrated a decisive advantage. Freelance journalist and author Alex Marshall, a Dvorak fan, says that before he switched, he was able to type 90 words per minute in QWERTY, and he now types about 100 words a minute in Dvorak."

The Economist concluded in its April 3, 1999 article that "For now, merely note that the failure illustrated by the QWERTY myth has more to do with the study of economics than with markets. For some reason, economists seem to adopt bogus anecdotal histories and then get locked in".

I go on at (wretchedly) great length because this applies to a great many opinions about technology, both old and new. Everybody knows a lot of things that aren't so, or strongly favors a particular technology that (objectively) is not perceptibly better than competing technologies. Camera manufacturers, in order to sell new product, must continually persuade the public that very slight or nonexistent advantages from new features are nearly as vital as life itself. Lens tests can define minuscule differences between lenses that can be seen (if at all) only by extreme enlargement of images, but are regarded as hugely important by consumers. It's not a rational process, but it's human nature and the manufacturers ignore it at their peril.


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